7 Comments

Thank you for yet another valuable article. Considering how sluggard European countries and the US have been in increasing missile defence system & interceptor production capabilities and not letting UA strike at launch sites directly with western ordinance.. ..these are not unreasonable concerns.

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Yeah, it certainly isn't ideal. From a NATO perspective, I'd rather see us invest in an effective counterstrike capability, rather than trying to win an offense-defense arms race that the defense can't really win, at least not cost-effectively.

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Exactly. Sadly the same painfully slow investment pace seems to plague offensive as well as defensive missile production, unless I'm missing some recent positive developments?

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Offensive is even worse than defensive. Germany has since Feb 2022 invested over 7.5 bn Euros into missile defense, and not even 200 mn into offensive strike capabilities. Dramatic imbalance there.

Some European countries are certainly better than others, but by and large its far from where it should be.

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Good grief. I guess i shouldn't be surprised. Hopefully this will change sooner rather than later.

Thank you for your engagement on these issues.

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Just a crazy idea, but why not, for once, Europe tries to take the initiative? What about saying "oh, we are really impressed by the capabilities of Russian nuclear forces. Sadly, it forces the EU to develope a independent nuclear deterrence, and deploy IRBM with nukes in Finland, Poland, the baltic states and so on. In the same way we will establish a missile defence system to try to counter such a formidable adversary. Oh, and we fully support Ukraine joining NATO". This part must not even be true, but let's Putin think about the possibility. Meanwhile, EU should start flooding russian and bielorussian (specially Bielorussia) social networks with an information campaign denouncing the corruption of their respective governments, what a wonderfully life would be for both countries joining EU and supporting any internal opposition with money and media coverage.

I know it's not going to happen, but it would be nice to see EU doing something proactively and not only sending deep concerned speeches as a reaction to Putin new atrocities. .

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Thank you very much, excellent! You confirmed and expanded what I have said in TV just after the first information on launch regarding the efficiency of Oreshnik with conventional MIRV and our ability to effectively intercept it. Thanks for your excellent further elaborations on implications for NATO - couldn't agree more.

Pavel Macko

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